International Economic

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One of the main characteristics of the global market is its environment. In a broad sense, refers to the specific situation on the state in the market, was formed under the influence of the aggregate of a number of factors konyunkturoobrazuyuschih

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One of the main characteristics of the global market is its environment. In a broad sense, refers to the specific situation on the state in the market, was formed under the influence of the aggregate of a number of factors konyunkturoobrazuyuschih. 
 
The research environment at different levels are distinguished: 
General economic, market conditions (position in the world economy as a whole, the region, the economy of individual countries); 
- Market conditions of individual segments of the world market; 
- Market environment of certain goods. 
In practice, these conditions are interrelated levels. Therefore, in order to examine the situation on a particular product, you need to have information about industry conditions, and for research in industry conditions need to know general economic. 
Distinguish types of situation: 
-Current; 
-Short-term; 
- Medium; 
-Long term. 
Studies of these types of conditions in the world market together (for example, in the estimation of the long-term situation is constantly being adjusted to reflect the changes of other conditions). 
Global market conditions are constantly changing under the influence of the general population konyunktursobrazuyuschih factors: 
- Fixed and variable; 
- Cyclic and non-cyclic; 
- Incentives and disincentives;-short, medium and long term. When a forecast of market conditions, it is usually isolated and analyzed first of all those factors, the action of which the most of the future of the market development. These are called "opportunistic symptoms." Overall the combination of these symptoms is opportunistic opportunistic symptoms. 
Market fluctuations are significantly associated with the cyclical nature of the economy. In this situation there are long cycles ("Kondratieff cycles"). At the heart of the long cycle conditions are major scientific and technological discoveries related to the emergence of innovative products that generate a very long period of "wave" conditions until all the major scientific and technical advantages of the product. 
Cyclical conditions are well illustrated by the situation on the world market of machinery and equipment. In the world of industry cycles are always associated with upgrading equipment, and upgrade cycles and consumer durables. 
In some cases, the result of intense action of additional factors may not reflect the situation literally passage of certain phases of the cycle. In addition to cyclical factors are fixed and variable non-cyclic factors. 
By standing noncyclic factors may include, for example, the state regulation of the economy and the impact of the situation on the part of the leading monopolies, TNCs. Symbiosis of these two factors is the state-monopoly regulation. 
By standing noncyclic factors may include, and political factors that may have both positive and negative effects on market conditions. 
Some constant factors that relate to the non-cyclic, have at the same time his own latent cycle. 
Overall, the number and strength of various factors konyunkturoobrazuyuschih constantly changing depending on the specific characteristics of a particular market.

 

 

 

The term "environment" is derived from the Latin word "conjungo", which means "to connect", "connect". The concept of "commodity markets" and the "general economic situation" is often used when talking about the characteristics of a specific situation at the moment, or for a certain period of time to market or in the economy of the country. 
 
Characteristics of market conditions generally include, the following: the degree of balance in the market (supply and demand), there has been formed or changed, its trends, the strength and scope of competition, the level of stability or turnover of its main parameters, the extent of market operations and the degree of business activity and the level of commercial risk, market position at a certain point of economic or seasonal cycle. 
 
The market environment is characterized by three important fundamental hallmarks: 
 
variability; 
 
cycling; 
 
dynamic. 
 
Market research can be a common, integrated and special, that is, differentiated on specific markets. Distinguish the state of the market for goods and services on a global scale, the scale of the country and its regions. This work is dedicated to market research in the world commodity markets and aims to highlight is their specific characteristics. 
 
Studies in world commodity markets includes a comprehensive analysis of the various factors affecting the status and development of global commodity markets. To quantify the changes and identify trends in the development environment under the influence of these factors using the corresponding system performance conditions. Investigation of the conditions of production and consumption of goods, supply and demand are in sequence, using appropriate methods and rules, which are discussed below. 
 
Conditions in the world economy or a particular sector and the commodity market at any given time is determined by many complex factors, causes, and conditions of economic development. The development environment is defined by the influence of: economic; 
 
political; 
 
the military; 
 
science and technology; 
 
natural; 
 
psychological (rumors, panic, and expectations), and other factors. 
The whole set of factors konyunkturoutvoryuyuchih structured to: 
 
a) permanent and temporary, casual, natural; 
 
b) stimulating factors and constraints on the economy; 
 
a) factors and cyclical anticyclic. 
 
In our view, it is important to clarify the status and prospects of environment is the analysis of cyclical and non-cyclical factors, so discuss them in detail. 
 
Market cycles can be of different length and sequence. Within one cycle is usually traced seasonal changes, the intensity of which is estimated coefficients of variation. The nature and strength of market cycles are different for certain goods and manifest themselves differently in different climatic and economic zones.

 

Conditions in the world market for goods, services and capital in the short term and the possibility of exposure to individual subsystems TON national economies of the world are determined by general economic situation and the growth rate of world GDP. Integration of Russia and CIS countries in the world economy should lead to dramatic changes in the global economy. These changes, as the experience of the world economy in the last three decades, and in the next quarter-century will be directly related to the situation on the energy market. In the world of tougher fight for control of the market, especially the oil market. In the entire history of mankind has been produced and consumed about 1 trillion tons, with most of that amount - in the last decade. Oil production is growing and now stands at about 3 billion tons annually. The current structure of the consumption of "black gold" lion's share is in the United States - about 1 billion tons Performance analysis in the status of the CIS countries in the world production of energy in this table suggests that the CIS countries in the next 15 years, will remain significant opportunities to influence world market of energy resources. 
However, these features can not be implemented outside the process of economic globalization and integration processes, regardless of membership in the WTO and other international organizations. In light of this, the CIS countries, the need for coordinated cooperation in the production and consumption of energy resources. Note that the situation on the energy market to a large extent determines the economic situation in the world and the possibility of the CIS countries to influence it. Virtually all of the CIS countries exported oil is supplied to the European market, the entire infrastructure (including the recently introduced into service the Baltic Pipeline System) is designed for delivery in the region. But it is here expected slight increase in demand for oil. According to forecasts, with annual growth rates of 2-4.5% of global GDP, oil demand in Western Europe by 2020 will rise respectively by only 0.1-0.9% per year, which is associated with the development of gasification and alternative energy in these countries. 
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The basic growth in oil consumption will occur in Asia - China and India is increasing demand for "black gold." In this region, the annual increase in oil consumption, depending on the pace of economic development reach 2,6-4,2%. In these circumstances, coordination of mutual interest and efforts of the CIS on the transnationalization of their fuel and energy resources. The only way to ensure the competitive position of the CIS countries in the energy market is the creation of these subjects of international law in the face of nuclear energy multinationals. The first phase can be restructured "Rosenergoatom" concern the Eurasian TNCs.


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